Education

Monday, 13 April 2020

What shall India learn from Lockdown of Nations like China & HongKong ? How many days are atleast needed to contain the Virus ?

The Indian Lockdown of 21 Days almost came onto it's verge of completion, It commenced on March 24th Midnight and is supposed to end on 14th of April. The Goal was to contain the spread of the Virus and eliminating it completely if possible through the implementation of certain specific measures like Self Isolation and Social Distancing. India responded quite in time to the Pandemic as there was already much to learn from other Countries experience facing the deadly issues amid COVID19 way before us and also because India realised the severity of the matter sincerely. 

Certain Internal Drawbacks uplifted the constraints within the Nation by pouring some additional supporting problem's. Mass Exodus of Labourers/Daily Wagers at Unprecedented levels was Alarming for the Authorities as well as the Citizen's Observing. For the little to be left was the Incident of Tablighi Jamatis at Hazarat Nizamuddin in Delhi, within 2-3 days of the event the number of Infection grew to double. India was fighting an Internal Communal War along with COVID19, still, there was much to be done than just a Lockdown.

Here I'll be sharing what India learned from Other Countries like China & Hong Kong who were pretty Efficient and Responsive in tackling the Virus then we'll be discussing the Data and the Analytics provided by The University of Cambridge for the most potential way of dealing with the Chinese Virus. 

China began it's Lockdown in the Hubei Province of China on 22nd january and was lifted on 24th march. The reason for halt in the Lockdown was that the Chinese Government found Zero New cases during the latter 4 days. 

Soon after lifting the ban China was encountering a strange problematic situation again, 1541 Asymptomatic (i.e., When the Patient has Zero Symptoms of the Disease) cases were reported amid concerns of the second wave of Infections. It was clear that the Herd Immunity (i.e., When a cluster of Individuals has developed the Immunity to fight the Disease/Immunity to overcome Community Transmission) wasn't there and people are still prone to the Virus with a greater sense of danger as they lacked the symptoms which is crucial in scrutiny of the suspected.

Hong Kong was one of the very few Nations that took prompt actions regarding the Interest of it's Citizens. At the beginning of february itself the Lockdown came into existence, till that time Hong Kong didn't had any cases reported, even till 20th of march cases were significantly few.

A Research that was followed by, Prof. Rajesh Singh and Prof. R. Adhikari from the Department of Applied Maths & Theoretical Physics at The University of Cambridge, London said, The following 4 Patterns could be undertaken for the purpose of relaxation :

1) Resurgence : A Lockdown of 21 Days, after that the cases will immediately shoot up. This is the current scenario which was implemented on 24th March.

2) Resurgence (Part 2) : A Lockdown Of 21 Days followed by a relaxation of 5 Days, then again a Lockdown of 28 Days. The cases will decrease during Lockdown but will soon diminish the progress achieved.

3) The Longest of All : A Lockdown of 21 Days followed by 5 Days of relaxation, then 28 Days of Lockdown followed by yet again a relaxation of 5 Days, at last, A Lockdown of 18 Days in the end. According to the Research, this method would bring the cases down to 10 cases per day, though it would mark the calender by 9th of June when completed.

Last but not the worst.

4) Most Optimum : A Lockdown of 49 Days in continuation with the current Lockdown, this methodology would by far be the best according to the Researchers, if Applied.

It is not possible to test 130 Crore Individuals for now, Lockdown is the only option, It added.









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